BENCHMARKS
MODEL ACCOUNTABILITY
Predictions versus reality.
Every result is measured against the immutable model and market record frozen at kickoff.
GRADED SAMPLE—Collecting predictions
Read the sample firstEarly results are directional. Calibration and accuracy become meaningful only with a larger sample.Jump to challenger performance ↓
Winner accuracy and Brier score
CALIBRATION
Confidence versus outcomes
WEEKLY TREND
Accuracy over the season
MODEL LEARNING VIEWS
Where the forecast works—and where it misses
SILENT CHALLENGER
Candidate model performance
RESULT LOG
Recently graded games
Right pickWrong pick
| Game and grade | Final result | Frozen model pick | Closing market pick | Margin miss |
|---|